ICEX - Diamond Futures Trading Tips: November 2019

Diamond : Technical View : 28.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price closed with negative note during the last session.

However, It has sustained above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which signifies power to the bulls.

Furthermore, the price has sustained above the Falling Trendline, which adds support in the counter.

Momentum indicators MACD has crossed above the zero level, which indicates bullishness.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Diamond : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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Diamond prices dropped in yesterday’s session to settled at 3576.65 after the OECD says the global outlook is unstable. World GDP growth fell to 2.9 percent this year its lowest rate since the financial crisis - and is expected to remain stuck at 3 percent over the next two years. While down side will be limited as support can be seen in today's session with the all-import Thanksgiving shopping weekend that kicks off the holiday shopping period almost upon us, there are high hopes for a strong finish
to the year. Every holiday survey is predicting positive gains that should have retailers feeling positive. However, there are indicators that not all is well.

De Beers restricting supply through flexible buyback policy at $295M Sep. sight. US sustaining market for commercial-quality, medium-priced fancies under 1 ct. Chinese consumers seeking fancy shapes at better prices. Off-make, poorly cut fancies illiquid and hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

Consumers shifting to lower-ticket items amid trade war uncertainty and stock market volatility. US polished-diamond imports dropped 21% to $1.6 billion in July, according to the latest data from the Commerce Department. Shortages in RapSpec A3+, nonfluorescent goods as manufacturers maintain low production.

Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -56.76% to settled at 23250 while prices down -8.3 rupees, now Diamond 1Ct is getting support at 3573 and below same could see a test of 3569 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 3582, a move above could see prices testing 3587.

Rubber : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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Rubber on ICEX settled down -0.8% at 13290 on profit booking after prices gained amid expectations of a fall in global output due to a severe pest attack in major producing countries such as Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia. Further downside also seen limited due to higher demand from domestic stockists and an ongoing supply crunch in the market.

Thailand is pushing to export natural rubber to boost farmers’ income, the country’s commerce minister said. The minister also said Thailand had recently sold 100,000 tonnes of rubber worth 7.5 billion baht to India, and that he would travel to Turkey and Germany to negotiate more deals. Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia face lower output of natural rubber as they battle an outbreak of the fungal disease pestalotiopsis, which causes leaves to turn yellow and spotted, amid a peak rubber-tapping period between October and December.

The disease threatens to cut output in affected areas by around half, and has been reported in more than 450,000 hectares of rubber plantations across the three countries.

Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed remain unchanged in open interest by 0% to settled at 297 while prices down -107 rupees, now Rubber is getting support at 13250 and below same could see a test of 13200 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 13350, a move above could see prices testing 13400.

Steellong : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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Steellong on ICEX settled down -0.97% at 27600 as fears of tight supply eased amid favourable environmental conditions. The northwest province of Shaanxi withdrew its heavy pollution alert, after top steelmaking province Hebei lifted its second-level smog alert. Top trade negotiators from China and the United States held a phone call on Tuesday morning, China's Commerce Ministry said, as the two sides try to hammer out a preliminary "phase one" deal in a trade war that has dragged on for 16 months.

Steel consumption in north China has yet to show a significant decline, with demand releasing steadily in the south as construction sites stepped up operation before the Chinese New Year holiday. An estimated 75,000 mt of stainless steel production will be impacted as a large stainless steel producer in east China commenced annual maintenance on November 21, according to sources.

The company has an annualised capacity of 2 million mt. Operation of the integrated RKEF
production line will not be affected during the regular overhaul. Social inventories of hot-rolled coil (HRC) in China trended lower for a sixth straight week, as demand ramped up further after prices of ferrous futures jumped on the issuing of smog alerts across northern regions and mine accidents. Data showed that stocks of HRC across social warehouses decreased by 4.7% from a week ago to 1.77 million mt as of Thursday November 21.

Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -13.53% to settled at 684 while prices down -270 rupees, now Steellong is getting support at 27460 and below same could see a test of 27310 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 27810, a move above could see prices testing 28010.

Diamond : Technical View : 22.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price closed on the downside during the last session.

However, It has sustained above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which signifies power to the bulls.

Furthermore, the price has sustained above the Falling Trendline, which adds support in the counter.

Momentum indicators MACD has crossed above the zero level, which indicates bullishness.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Rubber : Technical View : 22.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price slipped and faced pressure during the previous session.

However, the price is trading above the median of the Bollinger Band.

Moreover, It has also sustained above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which provides the counter with support.

Momentum indicators RSI(14) has sustained above the 50 level, which could provide strength in the near term.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

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Diamond : Technical View : 20.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price closed in a positive note during the last session.

However, It has sustained above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which signifies bullish strength for the short term.

Furthermore, the price has sustained above the Falling Trendline, which adds support in the counter.

Momentum indicators MACD has crossed above the zero level, which indicates bullishness.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Rubber : Technical View : 20.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price has closed with in positive note during the previous session.

However, the price is trading above the median of the Bollinger Band.

Moreover, It has also sustained above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which supports for short term.

Momentum indicators RSI(14) has sustained above the 50 level, which could maintain strength in the counter.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Diamond Futures Trading Tips : 18.11.2019 - Mr B. Natarajan 9600099851

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ICEX Diamond - Hourly Market Trend Update

Buy Diamond (1CT-Dec) SA 3590 SL 3584 Target 3596 / 3602 / 3608 (Booked)

Buy RUBBER (DEC) SA 12850 SL 12790 Target 12910 / 12970 / 13030 (Booked)

Sell STEELLONG (DEC) SB 28050 SL 28180 Target 27920 / 27790 / 27660 (Target2)

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Diamond : Technical View : 18.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price closed with negative note during the last session.

However, It has sustained above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which signifies
bullish strength for the short term.

Furthermore, the price has sustained above the Falling Trendline, which adds support in the
counter.

Momentum indicators MACD has crossed above the zero level, which indicates
bullishness.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Rubber : Technical View : 18.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price has closed with negative note in the previous session.

However, the price is trading above the median of the Bollinger Band.

Moreover, It has also sustained above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which
supports for short term.

Momentum indicators RSI(14) has sustained above the 50 level, which could maintain
strength in the counter.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Diamond : Technical View : 15.11.2019

* On the daily chart, the price closed with negative note during the last session.

* Moreover, It has also moved above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which
signifies bullish strength for short term.

* Furthermore, the price has sustained above the Falling Trendline, which adds support in the
counter.

* Momentum indicators RSI(14) has shown positive crossover, which indicates bullishness.

* With these technical analysis; we expect bullish move on the counter.

Rubber : Technical View : 15.11.2019

* On the daily chart, the price has closed with negative note in the previous session.

* However, the price has taken the support from the Horizontal Trendline, which may
support the counter.

* Moreover, It has also moved above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which
supports for short term.

* Momentum indicators RSI(14) has shifted at oversold region, which could cap the more
selling in the counter.

* With these technical analysis; we expect bullish move on the counter.

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Diamond Futures Trading Tips : 06.11.2019 - Mr B. Natarajan 9600099851

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ICEX Diamond - Hourly Market Trend Update

Buy Diamond (1CT-Dec) SA 3549 SL 3543 Target 3555 / 3561 / 3567 (Target 1)

Buy STEELLONG (DEC) SA 28420 SL 28280 Target 28560 / 28700 / 28840 (Open)

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